The poll had 532 respondents, of which 38.3%
self-identified as faculty, 25.2% as postdocs, 31% as graduate students, and
5.5% as “other.” Given the relative numbers of people in evolutionary biology
in these different categories, and the likely age-dependence of interaction
with social media, I had expected more graduate students. Perhaps some younger
scientists weren’t yet as comfortable providing their opinion on these ideas. I
should also note that it is possible the survey was infiltrated by
non-evolutionary biologists, or even non-scientists, but – based on various comments,
and the responses – I think the majority of respondents were indeed evolutionary
biologists.
A description of the results of the poll will appear in several posts. The present post will summarize and describe, and try to interpret, the distributions of responses. Future posts will consider patterns in comparison to the ecology poll and my own opinion on the various "controversies."
THE CLASSICS
A series of questions addressed classic debates in
evolutionary biology: punctuated equilibrium, group selection, sympatric
speciation, character displacement, and reinforcement.
Punctuated equilibrium was most vocally espoused by Eldredge
and Gould as an alternative to what they considered to be deterministic Darwinism.
They argued that Darwin and his followers often considered evolution to be the slow, gradual accumulation of change,
whereas – instead – most lineages remained phenotypically rather constant through
time, except for brief periods of rapid change. They further argued that this
punctuated PATTERN must reflect some non-Darwinian PROCESS, such as macromutation
or species-level selection. The poll results suggest that most people were
rather ambivalent about punctuated equilibrium and very few felt particularly
strongly one way or the other. I speculate that the reason is that most people
recognize the punctuated PATTERN of evolution, as indeed did Darwin and Simpson
and many other classic evolutionary biologists; but, at the same time, they reject
the need for a non-Darwinian mechanism. Of course, the question did not distinguish
between these two options, but the next question allows some insight.
The statement here echoes one aspect of the punctuated equilibrium
debate, where special “non-Darwinian” mechanisms were needed to explain the
bursts of evolutionary change. More generally, some researchers studying
macro-evolution (differences between major lineages, the origins of new traits,
and so on) often assert that classic Darwinian natural selection is not
sufficient to explain macroevolutionary trends. Here, however, respondents
clearly felt that macro-evolution was simply micro-evolution “writ large” or
perhaps, given the above responses, “writ in fits and starts.” Admittedly, the readers of this eco-evo-evo-eco blog are more
likely to study micro-evolution than macro-evolution, and so we might here be
seeing a bias of the community surveyed.
The idea that natural selection acts not just among
individuals within groups but also among groups was roundly criticized by George
Williams in his classic book, as well as by other influential evolutionary
biologists. These critiques were so devasting that, basically, no one would
invoke the process for decades. Recently, a number of studies have shown theoretically
and empirically that the process can work, and it has been heavily promoted by
David Sloan Wilson and others. It seems, however, that the group selectionists
have not been very convincing.
The idea that one species can split into two or more in a
single geographical location, when gene flow starts quite high, is another
concept that saw devastating critiques by authority figures, most notably Ernst
Mayer. In the last 20 years, however, an increasing number of both theoretical
and empirical studies have revived interest in the topic. Interestingly, the
modern perspective seems to have made considerable inroads, with few people strongly
accepting the statement that “sympatric speciation is very rare.” At the same
time, very few people felt it was definitely false.
Two other classic debates in evolutionary
biology, which also echo in ecology, relate to the importance of interactions. Character displacement is the idea that competition between species or between conspecifics
for shared resources can drive evolutionary divergence in resource use and, hence, in the
traits that facilitate that divergence. A series of classic papers have struggled
with what, precisely, would be the evidence necessary to conclude that
character displacement was occurring, sometimes generating a series of CRITERIA that "must" be met if the process is to be inferred. However, the survey suggests
that few respondents strongly disagree that character displacement is an
important force. I might suggest that this outcome arises because most people realize that
the usual “criteria for demonstrating” cited by those classic papers place the bar too high.
Another controversy surrounding competition
is the extent to which it drives speciation, specifically through reinforcement:
that is, selection to avoid maladaptive hybridization (or, more narrowly, against
hybrids). Reinforcement is sometimes called “reproductive character displacement”, since the mechanism is similar. Here the literature went back and forth between supportive and dismissive
theoretical analyses and empirical “demonstrations.” Respondents here seem to have much the
same view as for character displacement, suggesting that competitive interactions
are generally considered an important force in evolution.
THE GENETICS OF ADAPTATION
The above debates are classic ones, which might now be fading
into perceived irrelevance, or perhaps are considered “solved” to some extent.
However, a number of new debates have emerged on which we also surveyed opinions. We were particularly curious as to how classic assumptions of adaptation have fared in
the genomics era.
R.A. Fisher famously modeled genetic evolution with his
infinitesimal model, where adaptation was driven by countless numbers of genes
each with infinitesimal influences, corresponding to formulations of quantitative
genetics. In the modern genomics era, however, more and more studies are
emphasizing particular genes (or genomic regions) determining traits
involved in adaptation. The response from classic quantitative geneticists frequently has been “Sure, such genes do exist (Mendel’s peas after all!), but they represent a small
fraction of overall adaptation – certainly not enough to warrant the attention
currently paid to them.” The poll suggests that the majority of respondents accept the quantitative geneticists’ conjecture, or – as those geneticists might say – the quantitative geneticists’ EVIDENCE.
As opposed to the previous question, we can here see what
appears to be a substantial shift in opinion from the classic interest in
genetic changes occurring in protein coding sequences to genetic changes in
regulatory regions.
A rapidly expanding cadre of scientists are interested in
genomic changes that do not involve changes in sequence: that is, epigenetics –
most commonly DNA methylation. It has been argued by some that the study of epigenetics
is revolutionizing genetics and will soon revolutionize evolutionary biology.
The distribution of responses here suggest a wide range of opinion, with most
not buying into the hype. However, nearly 10% of respondants agreed strongly
that epigenetics is revolutionary – although perhaps they merely meant that
lots of people are now studying it. Of course, empirical data on this topic is still
so sparse that one might say we are all currently poorly informed on this
topic.
This statement, of course, captures part of the classic critique
of the “adaptationist program”, most famously voiced by Gould and Lewontin. “Adaptationism” is a paradigm in which traits are generally assumed to be adaptive, having been shaped by selection; opponents of this perspective sometimes deride the hypotheses advanced by adaptationists as “just so stories” (after Kipling’s short stories like “How the Camel Got His Hump”). Interestingly, opinion here is bi-modal (as were responses to the original critique),
with few people being indifferent. Personally, I am rather surprised that the
Gould–Lewontin view still seems quite strongly accepted in the evolutionary
biology community.
The last 20 years of interest in “ecological speciation” and “adaptive
speciation” seems not to have strongly swayed opinion, in the sense that many evolutionary
biologists still feel that neutral processes need to be considered in
speciation.
I imagine that most evolutionary biologists agree that constraints are important
on both short- and long-term scales. However, by separating the two questions, I had expected
to differentiate people concerned with immediate responses to selection
being altered by the G-matrix from people concerned with structural and
physical constraints preventing certain morphologies. Yet the response was
generally the same – most people feel that constraints are important.
Given the above responses suggesting that neutral process should be considered, and that constraints are common, I was very surprised to see that respondents here went with the classic view of local adaptation being strong and deterministic (parallel). I guess a fair interpretation would be that while most respondents think that natural selection is the most important force, its influence could sometimes be modestly altered by neutral processes and constraints.
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That's all for now. Stay tuned for more results and interpretation.
Really fun Andrew! I enjoyed reading the outcomes of the poll and it seems that many of these questions are not trivial at all and still controversial. May I ask, why were you surprised that the Gould–Lewontin view is still strongly accepted in the evolutionary biology community?.
ReplyDeleteCheers and thanks!
I am in the field but will later write my own take on these as a separate post. Thanks. Andrew
ReplyDeleteSo excited to see the first batch of results!
ReplyDeleteQuick thoughts (repeated from my post over at Dynamic Ecology):
-A plurality of evolutionary biologists think sympatric speciation isn't rare?!
-I can't decide whether to be depressed that evolutionary biology, like ecology, has long-standing and apparently irresolvable controversies--or glad that at least our ecological controversies are *as* long-standing as some of yours. :-)
-interested to see a bimodal distribution of opinion about the ignorability of neutral processes in trait evolution. Our poll on controversial ideas in ecology only identified one about which overall opinion was bimodal.
-We did find other ideas about which *expert* opinion was bimodal, and in general experts disagreed with one another *more* than non-experts. Really looking forward to learning whether the same is true in evolutionary biology. I'm betting it is.
It is a little bit intriguing that common parallele adaptation and common polygenic adaptation are both largely accepted at the genomic level while being incompatible, even though only to some extent. Indeed polygenic adaptation involving many genes will rarely use the same genes for the same phenotypic result. In fact, most known cases of parallel evolution at the genomic level involved very few genes and were certainly selective sweeps. So, even if at any time there might be more adaptation driven by many loci of small effect the adaptations that do fix on the long term are more often monogenic or oligogenic. In this respect, and together with the fact that both sweeps and polygenic adaptation are involved in the evolution of traits to their optima in quantifiable ways makes the persistent opposition of the two at best silly, and more likely counter-productive for the whole field.
ReplyDeletePerhaps some (many?) respondents to the parallel evolution question interpreted it as asking about parallel evolution at the phenotypic level, rather than the genomic level?
Delete"Given the above responses suggesting that neutral process should be considered, and that constraints are common, I was very surprised to see that respondents here went with the classic view of local adaptation being strong and deterministic (parallel)."
ReplyDeleteI don't find this strange at all. To the best of my understanding, neutral processes and evolutionary constraints dictate what is possible for natural selection to act with in the context of local adaptation? Neutral evolution and constraints are like shuffling of the deck and then you play with the hand you have (genetic background) against your opponents (the environment in the broadest sense). Given similar opponents (parallel environments), you don't have much variability in your strategies apart from the hand you are playing with (parallel evolution).
Eagerly waiting for the next post.
What an awesome poll/post. On a more general note, and perhaps you mentioned (or will mention this) caveat, there are a couple of times where you implicitly focus on the 1-2 score vs the 4-5 score. Personally, when it comes to controversial ideas, I find the score of 3 to be very informative, in particular because the more controversial ideas are not espoused in the classroom (in some cases as with the example below, they are taught as heretical). For instance, when it comes to the group selection question, you write: "It seems, however, that the group selectionists have not been very convincing." Well, that is true if you look at 1-2 vs 4-5, but considering group selection is typically taught as heresy in an undergrad classroom, it is pretty significant that 43.6% answered between 3-5. Of course, also keeping in mind that you specifically said to abstain from answering if the person was not comfortable on the topic, which means '3' doesn't necessarily represent 'indifferent', rather it could be interpreted as moderately true.
ReplyDeleteI am in the field but I look forward to comment more soon. Thanks everyone for carrying the conversation forward.
ReplyDelete